Nobody knows what the market will do.
Every day, new information changes the outlook:
WEATHER
POLITICS
SOUTH
AMERICA
ETHANOL
DEMAND
INTEREST
RATES
USDA
REPORTS
EXPORTS
FUND
FLOWS
EXTREME
WEATHER
The biggest market moves usually begin with surprises.:
WARS
SURPRISE
REPORTS
PANDEMICS
Every producer already has a position.
Inaction is a position.
The market trades your crop every day. Every bushel, in the field or in the bin, is a position you already hold. Most traditional grain marketing begins with information, commentary, and market opinions intended to answer a familiar question:
What will the market do next?
Those inputs can be valuable, but they cannot remove uncertainty. Every market decision still depends on an expectation about a future no one can know, nor predict.
Commodity Position Management starts with a different question:
What position do I already have, and how do I want it to behave?
Instead of relying on prediction, it manages that position with a plan, and keeps working while you farm.